Blackwell and inference demand are accelerating, but China restrictions create a substantial near-term revenue and margin headwind.
| Quarter | Q1 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Results reported | 2025-05-28 |
| Length | 63 minutes |
| Speakers | Toshiya Hari, Vice President, Investor Relations; Colette Kress, Executive Vice President and CFO; Jensen Huang, President and CEO |
Results, guidance and Q&A analysis for this call
Sarah (Operator)
Good afternoon. My name is Sarah and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Nvidia's First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press *1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press *1. Again, thank you. Toshiya Hari, you may begin your conference.
Toshiya Hari (Vice President, Investor Relations)
Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Nvidia's conference call for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. With me today from NVIDIA are Jensen Wong, President and Chief Executive Officer and Colette Press, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. I'd like to remind you that our call is being webcast live on Nvidia's Investor Relations website. The webcast will be available for replay until the conference call to discuss our financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026. The content of today's call is Nvidia's property. It can't be reproduced or transcribed without our prior written consent. During this call, we may make forward-looking statements based on current expectations. These are subject to a number of significant risks and uncertainties and our actual results may differ materially. For a discussion of factors that could affect our future financial results and business, please refer to the disclosure in today's earnings release, our most recent Forms 10K and 10Q, and the reports that we may file on Form 8K with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All our statements are made as of today, May 28th, 2025 based on information currently available to us. Except as required by law, we assume no obligation to update any such statements. During this call, we will discuss non GAAP financial measures. You can find a reconciliation of these non GAAP financial measures to GAP financial measures in our CFO commentary which is posted on our website. With that, let me turn the call over to Colette.
Colette Kress (Executive Vice President and CFO)
Thank you, Toshio. We delivered another strong quarter with revenue of 44 billion, up 69% year over year, exceeding our outlook in what proved to be a challenging operating environment. Data center revenue of 39 billion grew 73% year on year. AR workloads have transitioned strongly to inference and AI factory build outs are driving significant revenue. Our customers commitments are firm. On April 9th, the US government issued new export controls on age 20, our data center GPU designed specifically for the China market. We sold age 20 with the approval of the previous administration. Although our age 20 has been in the market for over a year and does not have a market outside of China, the new export controls on age 20 did not provide a grace to allow us to sell through our inventory. In Q1, we recognized 4.6 billion in H20 revenue which occurred prior to April 9th, but also recognized a 4.5 billion charge as we wrote down inventory and purchase obligations tied to orders we had received prior to April 9th. We were unable to ship 2.5 billion in H20 revenue in the first quarter due to the new export controls. The 4.5 billion charge was less than what we initially anticipated as we were able to reuse certain materials. We are still evaluating our limited options to supply data center compute products compliant with the US government's revised export control rules. Losing access to the China AI accelerator market, which we believe will grow to nearly 50 billion would have a material adverse impact on our business going forward and benefit our foreign competitors in China and worldwide. Our Blackwell ramp, the fastest in our company's history drove a 73% year on year increase in data center revenue. Blackwell contributed nearly 70% of data center compute revenue in the quarter with a transition from Hopper nearly complete. The introduction of GB 200 NBL was a fundamental architectural change to enable data center scale workloads and to achieve the lowest cost per inference token. While these systems are complex to build, we have seen a significant improvement in manufacturing yields and rack shipments are moving to strong rates to end customers. GB 200 and BL racks are now generally available for model builders, enterprises, and sovereign customers to develop and deploy AI. On average, major hyperscalers are each deploying nearly 1000 NBL 72 racks or 72,000 Blackwell GPUs per week and are on track to further ramp output this quarter. Microsoft, for example, has already deployed 10s of thousands of Blackwell GPUs and is expected to ramp to hundreds of thousands of GB 2 hundreds with Opening Eye as one of its key customers. Key learnings from the GB 200 ramp will allow for a smooth transition to the next phase of our product road map. Blackwell Ultra sampling of GB 300 systems began earlier this month at the major CSPS and we expect production shipments to Commerce, commerce later this quarter. GB 300 will leverage the same architecture, same physical footprint, and the same electrical and mechanical specifications as GB 200. The GB 300 drop in design will allow CSPS to seamlessly transition their systems and manufacturing used for GB 200 while maintaining high yields. B300 GPUs with 50% more HBM will deliver another 50% increase in dense FP4 inference compute performance compared to the B200. We remain committed to our annual product cadence with our road map extending through 2028 tightly aligned with the multiple year planning cycles of our customers. We are witnessing a sharp jump in inference demand. Open AI Microsoft and Google are seeing a step function leap in token generation. Microsoft processed over 100 trillion tokens in Q1A5 fold increase on a year over year basis. This exponential growth in Azure Open AI is representative of strong demand for Azure AI Foundry as well as other AI services across Microsoft's platform. Inference serving startups are now serving models using B200, tripling their token generation rate and corresponding revenues for high value reasoning models such as DeepSeek R1 as reported by Artificial Artificial Analysis. NVIDIA Dynamo on Blackwell NVL 72 turbocharges AI inference throughput by 30X for the new reasoning models sweeping the industry. Developer engagements increased with adoption ranging from LLM providers such as Perplexity to financial services institutions such as Capital One, who reduced agentic chat box latency by 5X with Dynamo. In the latest ML perf inference results, we submitted our first results using GB200 and BL72, delivering up to 30X higher inference throughput compared to our 8G P UH-200 submission on the challenging Llama 3.1 benchmark. This feat was achieved through a combination of tripling the performance per GPU as well as 9X more GPUs all connected on a single NV link domain. And while Blackwell is still early in its life cycle, software optimizations have already improved its performance by 1.5 X in the last month alone. We expect to continue improving the performance of Blackwell through its operational life, as we have done with Hopper and Emperor. For example, we increase the inference performance of Hopper by 4 * / 2 years. This is the benefit of Nvidia's programmable CUDA architecture and rich ecosystem. The pace and scale of AI factory deployments are accelerating with nearly 100 NVIDIA powered AI factories in flight this quarter, A2 fold increase year over year, with the average number of GP US powering each factory also doubling in the same. And more AI factory projects are starting across industries and geographies. Nvidia's full stack architecture is underpinning AI factory deployments as industry leaders like AT&T, BYD, Capital One, Foxconn, Mediatek and Telenor are strategically vital sovereign clouds like those recently announced in Saudi Arabia, Taiwan and the UAE. We have a line of sight to projects requiring 10s of gigawatts of NVIDIA AI infrastructure in the not too distant future. The transition from generative to agentic AIAI capable of perceiving, reasoning, planning and acting will transform every industry, every company and country. We envision AI agents as a new digital workforce capable of handling tasks ranging from customer service to complex decision making processes. We introduced the Lama Nemotron family of open reasoning models designed to supercharge identic AI platforms for enterprises. Built on the Lama architecture. These models are available as Nims or NVIDIA inference micro services with multiple sizes to meet diverse deployment needs. Our post training enhancements have yield a 20% accuracy boost and a 5X increase in inference speed. Leading platform companies including Accenture, Cadence, Deloitte and Microsoft are transforming work with our reasoning models. NVIDIA Nemo microservices are generally available across industries are being leveraged by leading enterprises to build, optimize and scale AI applications. With Nemo, Cisco increased model accuracy by 40% and improved response time by 10X in its code Assistant. NASDAQ realized a 30% improvement in accuracy and response time in its AI platforms, search capabilities and shells. Custom LLM achieved a 30% increase in accuracy when trained with NVIDIA Nemo. Nemo's parallelism techniques accelerated model training time by 20% when compared to other frameworks. We also announced A partnership with Yum Brands, the world's largest restaurant company to bring NVIDIA AI to 500 of its restaurants this year and expanding to 61,000 restaurants over time to streamline order taking, optimize operations and enhance service across its restaurants. For AI powered cybersecurity, leading companies like Checkpoint, Cloud Strike and Palatin Networks are using Nvidia's AI security and software stack to build, optimize and secure agentic workflows with Cloud Strike realizing 2X faster detection triage with 50% less compute cost. Moving to networking. Sequential growth in networking resumed in Q1 with revenue up 64% quarter over 4:45 billion. Our customers continue to leverage our platform to efficiently scale up and scale out AI factory workloads. We created the world's fastest switch, NV Link for scale up or NV Link. Compute Fabric, in its fifth generation, offers 14X the bandwidth of PCI E Gen. 5. NV Link 72 carries 130 terabytes per second of bandwidth in a single rack, equivalent to the entirety of the world's peak Internet traffic. NV Link is a new growth vector and is off to a great start with Q1 shipments exceeding a billion dollars. At Computex, we announced NV Link Fusion hyperscale customers can now build semi custom CC US and accelerators that connect directly to the NVIDIA platform. With NV Link, we are now enabling key partners including ASIC providers such as Mediatek, Marvell, Alchip Technologies and Estera Labs, as well as CPU suppliers such as Fujitsu and Qualcomm to leverage NV Link Fusion to connect our respective ecosystems for scale out. Our enhanced Ethernet offerings deliver the highest throughput low inflatency networking for AI. Spectrum X posted strong sequential and year on year growth and is now annualizing over 8 billion in revenue. Adoption is widespread across major CSPS and consumer Internet companies including CORWI, Microsoft Azure, Oracle Cloud and XAI. This quarter, we added Google Cloud and Meta to the growing list of Spectrum X customers. We introduced Spectrum X and Quantum X silicon photonics switches featuring the world's most advanced Co package optics. These platforms will enable next level AI factory scaling to millions of GPUs through the increasingly power efficiency by 3.5 X and network resiliency by 10X while accelerating customer time to market by 1.3 X. Transitioning to a quick summary of our revenue by geography, China as a percentage of our data center revenue was slightly below our expectations and down sequentially due to age 20 export licensing controls. For Q2, we expect a meaningful decrease in China data center revenue. As a reminder, while Singapore represented nearly 20% of our Q1 build revenue, as many of our large customers use Singapore for centralized invoicing, our products are almost always shipped elsewhere. Note that over 99% of H100H200 and Blackwell Data Center Compute revenue billed to Singapore was for orders from US based customers. Moving to gaming and AI PCs, gaming revenue was a record 3.8 billion, increasing 48% sequentially and 42% year on year. Strong adoption by gamers, creatives and AI enthusiasts have made Blackwell our fastest ramp ever. Against a backdrop of robust demand, we greatly improved our supply and availability in Q1 and expect to continue these efforts in Q2. AI is transforming PC and creator and gamers. With a 100 million user installed base, GE Force represents the largest footprint for PC developers. This quarter, we added to our AIPC laptop offerings, including models capable of running Microsoft's Copilot Plus. This past quarter, we brought Blackwell architecture to mainstream gaming with its launch of G Force RTX 5060 and 5060 TIE starting at just $299. The RTX 5060 also debuted in laptops starting at $1099. These systems that double the frame rate and slash latency. These G Force RTX 5060 and 5060TI desktop, GP US and laptops are now available in console gaming. The recently unveiled Nintendo Switch 2 leverages Nvidia's neuro rendering and AI technologies, including next generation custom RTXGPUS with DLSS technology, deliver a giant leap in gaming performance to millions of players worldwide. Nintendo has shipped over 150 million Switched consoles to date, making it one of the most successful gaming systems in history. Moving to Pro Visualization, revenue of 509,000,000 was flat sequentially and up 19% year on year. Tariff related uncertainty temporarily impacted Q1 systems and demand for AI workstations is strong and we expect sequential revenue growth to resume in Q2. NVIDIA DGX Spark and Station revolutionize personal computing by putting the power of an AI supercomputer in a desktop form factor. DGX Spark delivers up to 1 petaflop of AI compute, while DGX Station offers an incredible 20 petaflops and is powered by the GB 300 superchip. DGX Spark will be available in calendar Q3 and DGX Station later this year. We have deepened Omniverse's integration and adoption into some of the world's leading software platforms, including data bricks, SAP and Snyder Electric. New Omniverse blueprints such as MEGA for at scale robotic fleet management are being leveraged in Keyon Group, Pegatron, Accenture, and other leading companies to enhance industrial operations. At Computex, we showcased Omniverse's great traction with technology manufacturing leaders including TSMC, Quanta, Foxconn, Pegatron. Using Omniverse, TSMC saves months in work by designing fabs virtually, Foxconn accelerates thermal SIM simulations by 150X, and Pegatron reduced assembly line defects rates by 67%. Lastly with our automotive group, revenue was 567,000,000, down 1% sequentially, but up 72% year on year. Year on year growth was driven by the ramp of self driving across a number of customers and robust and demand for any of these. We are partnering with GM to build the next Gen. vehicles, factories and robots using NVIDIA AI simulation and accelerated computing. And we are now in production with our full stack solution for Mercedes-Benz. Starting with the new CLA hitting roads in the next few months, we announced Isaac Group and won the world's first open fully customizable foundation model for humanoid robots enabling generalized reasoning and skill development. We also launched new open NVIDIA Cosmo World Foundation models. Leading companies include 1X Agility Robots Robotics, Figure AI, Uber, and Wabi. We've begun integrating Cosmos into their operations for synthetic data generation, while Agility Robotics, Boston Dynamics, and X Pen Robotics are harnessing Isaac simulation to advance their humanoid efforts. GE Healthcare is using the new NVIDIA Isaac platform for healthcare simulation. Built on NVIDIA Omniverse and using NVIDIA Cosmos, the platform speeds development of robotic imaging and surgery systems. The era of robotics is here. Billions of robots, hundreds of millions of autonomous vehicles and hundreds of thousands of robotic factories and warehouses will be developed. All right, moving to the rest of the PNL, GAAP gross margins and non GAAP gross margins were 60.5% and 61% respectively. Excluding the 4.5 billion charge, Q1 non GAAP gross margins would have been 71.3, slightly below above our outlook at the beginning of the quarter. Sequentially, GAAP operating expenses were up 7% and non GAAP operating expenses were up 6%, reflecting higher compensation and employee growth. Our investments include expanding our infrastructure capabilities and AI solutions and we plan to grow these investments throughout the fiscal year. In Q1, we returned a record 14.3 billion to shareholders in the form of share repurchases and cash dividends. Our capital return program continues to be a key element of our capital allocation strategy. Let me turn to the outlook for the second quarter. Total revenue is expected to be 45 billion ± 2%. We expect modest sequential growth across all of our platforms. In data center, we anticipate the continued ramp of Blackwell to be partially offset by a decline in China revenue. Note our outlook reflects a loss in H20 revenue of approximately $8 billion. For the second quarter, GAAP and non GAAP gross margins are expected to be 71.8% and 72% respectively ±50 basis points. We expect better Blackwell profitability to drive modest sequential improvement in gross margins. We are continuing to work towards achieving gross margins in the mid 70s range late this year. GAAP and non GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately 5.7 billion and 4 billion respectively and we continue to expect full year fiscal year 26 operating expense growth to be in the mid 30% range. GAAP and non GAAP other income and expenses are expected to be an income of approximately 450 million excluding gays and losses from non marketable and publicly held equity securities. GAAP and non GAAP tax rates are expected to be 16.5% ± 1% excluding any discrete items. Further financial details are included in the CFO commentary and other information available on our IR website, including a new financially information AI agent. Let me highlight upcoming events for the financial community. We will be at the B of A global technology Conference in San Francisco on June 4th, the Rosenblatt Virtual AI Summit and NASDAQ Investor Conference in London on June 10th and GTC Paris at Viva Tech on June 11th in Paris. We look forward to seeing you at these events. Our earnings call to discuss the results of our second quarter of fiscal 2026 is scheduled for August 27. Well, now let me turn it over to Jensen to make some remarks.
Jensen Huang (President and CEO)
Thanks Colette. We've had a busy and productive year. Let me share my perspective on some topics we're frequently asked on export control. China is one of the world's largest AI markets and a springboard to global success. With half of the world's AI researchers based there, the platform that wins China is positioned to lead globally. Today, however, the $50 billion China market is effectively closed to US industry. The H20 export ban ended our Hopper data center business in China. We cannot reduce Hopper further to comply. As a result, we are taking a multi billion dollar write off on inventory that cannot be sold or repurposed. We are exploring limited ways to compete, but Hopper is no longer an option. China's AI moves on with or without US chips. It has to compute to train and deploy advanced models. The question is not whether China will have AI. It already does. The question is whether one of the world's largest AI markets will run on American platforms. Shielding Chinese chip makers from US competition only strengthens them abroad and weakens America's position. Export restrictions have spurred China's innovation and scale. The AI race is not just about chips, it's about which stack the world runs on. As that stack grows to include 6G and quantum, US global infrastructure leadership is at stake. the US has based its policy on the assumption that China cannot make AI chips. That assumption was always questionable, and now it's clearly wrong. China has enormous manufacturing capability. In the end, the platform that wins the AI developers win. AI wins. AI export controls should strengthen US platforms, not drive half of the world's AI talent to rivals on DeepSeek. DeepSeek and QN from China are among the most among the best open source AI models released freely. They've gained traction across the US, Europe and beyond. DeepSeek R1, like ChatGPT, introduced reasoning AI that produces better answers the longer it thinks. Reasoning AI enables step by step problem solving, planning and tool use, turning models into intelligent agents. Reasoning is compute intensive requires hundreds to thousands more thousands of times more tokens per task than previous one shot. Inference reasoning models are driving a step function surge in inference demand. AI scaling laws remain firmly intact, not only for training, but now inference 2 requires massive scale compute. DeepSeek also underscores the strategic value of open source AI. When popular models are trained and optimized on US platforms, it drives usage, feedback, and continuous improvement, reinforcing American leadership across the stack. US platforms must must remain the preferred platform for open source AI. That means supporting collaboration with top developers globally, including in China. America wins when models like DeepSeek and QN runs best on American infrastructure. Regarding onshore manufacturing, President Trump has outlined a bold vision to reshore advanced manufacturing, create jobs, and strengthen national security. Future plants will be highly computerized and robotics. We share this vision. TSMC is building 6 fabs and two advanced packaging plants in Arizona to make chips for NVIDIA. Process qualification is on the way with volume production expected by year end. Spill and Amcor are also investing in Arizona constructing packaging, assembly and test facilities. In Houston, we're partnering with Foxconn to construct 1,000,000 square foot factory to build AI supercomputers. Wistron is building a similar plant in Fort Worth, TX to encourage and support these investments. We've made substantial long term purchase commitments, a deep investment in America's AI manufacturing future. Our goal from chip to supercomputer built in America within a year. Each GB 200 and B length 72 racks contains 1.2 million components and weighs nearly 2 tons. No one has produced supercomputers on this scale. Our partners are doing an extraordinary job on AI diffusion rule. President Trump rescinded the AI diffusion rule, calling it counterproductive, and proposed a new policy to promote USAI tech with trusted partners. On his Middle East tour, he announced historic investments. I was honored to join him in announcing A500 MW AI infrastructure project in Saudi Arabia and A5 GW AI campus in the UAE. President Trump wants US tech to lead. The deals he announced are wins for America, creating jobs, advancing infrastructure, generating tax revenue, and reducing the US trade deficit. The US will always be Nvidia's largest market and home to the largest installed base of our infrastructure. Every nation now sees AI as core to the next industrial revolution, a new industry that produces intelligence and essential infrastructure for every economy. Countries are racing to build national AI platforms to elevate their digital capabilities. At Computext, we announced Taiwan's first AI factory in partnership with Foxconn and the Taiwan government. Last week, I was in Sweden to launch its first national AI infrastructure. Japan, Korea, India, Canada, France, the UK, Germany, Italy, Spain and more are now building national AI factories to empower startups, industries and societies. Sovereign AI is a new growth engine for NVIDIA. Toshia, back to you. Thank you.
Toshiya Hari (Vice President, Investor Relations)
Operator, we will now open the call for questions. Would you please pull for questions?
Sarah (Operator)
Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone in order to ask a question, press *, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster.
Sarah (Operator)
Your first question comes from the line of Joe Moore with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
Stacy Rasgon (Analyst)
Great. Thank you. You guys have talked about this scaling up of inference around reasoning models for, you know at least a year now and we've really seen that come to fruition as you talked about, we've heard it from your customers. Can you give us a sense for how much of that demand, you know you're able to serve and give us a sense for maybe how big the inference business is for you guys? And you know, do we need full, full on NBL 72 rack scale solutions for reasoning inference going forward?
Jensen Huang (President and CEO)
Well, we would like to serve all of it and, and I think we're on track to serve most of it.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
Grace Blackwell MV Link 72 is the ideal engine today, the ideal computer thinking machine if you will, for reasoning AI. There's a couple of reasons for that. The first reason is that the token generation amount, the number of tokens reasoning goes through is 100, a 1000 times more than a one shot chat bot. You know, it's essentially thinking to itself, breaking down a problem step by step. It might be planning multiple paths to an answer. It's could be using tools, reading PDFs, reading web pages, watching videos and and then producing a a result, an answer. The the longer it thinks the better the answer, the smarter the answer is. And So what we would like to do, and the reason why Grace Blackwell was designed to give such a giant step up in inference performance is so that you could do all this and still get a response as quickly as possible. Compared to Hopper, Grace Blackwell is some 40 times higher speed and throughput compared and so this is going to be a huge, huge benefit and driving down the cost.
Jensen Huang (President and CEO)
While.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
Improving the quality of response with excellent quality of service at the same time. So that's, that's the fundamental reason. That was the core driving reason for Grace Blackwell and V Link 72. Of course, of course, in order to do that, we had to reinvent, literally redesign the entire way that the supercomputers are built. And, and, but now we're in full production. It is, it's, it's going to be exciting. It's going to be incredibly exciting.
Sarah (Operator)
The next question comes from Vivek Ariel with Bank of America Securities. Your line is open.
Aaron Rakers (Analyst)
Thanks for the question. Just a clarification for Collette first. So on the China impact, I think previously it was mentioned that at about $15 billion, so you had the 8 billion in Q2. So is there still some left as a headwind for the remaining quarters? Just collect how to model that and then question Jensen for you. Back at GTC, you had outlined a path towards almost a trillion dollars of, of AI spending over the next few years. Where are we in, in that build out and and do you think it's going to be uniform that you will see every spender, whether it's CSP, Sovereigns, Enterprises or or build out? Should we expect some periods of digestion in between? Just what are your customer discussions telling you about how to model growth for next year?
Colette Kress (Executive Vice President and CFO)
Yes, Vivek, thanks so much for the question. Regarding age 20, yes, we recognized 4.6 H 20 in Q1. We were unable to ship 2 1/2 billion. So the total for Q1 should have been 7 billion. When we look at our Q2, our Q2 is going to be meaningfully down in terms of China data center revenue and we had highlighted in terms of the amount of orders that we had planned for H20 and Q2 and that was 8 billion. Now going forward, we did have other orders going forward that we will not be able to fulfill. That is what was incorporated therefore in the amount that we wrote down of the four point six, $4.5 billion. That write down was about inventory and purchase commitments and our purchase commitments were about what we expected regarding the orders that we had received. Going forward though it's a bigger issue regarding the amount of the market that we will not be able to serve. We assess that Tam to be close to about 50 billion in the future as we don't have a product to enable for the China.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
The fact the, the, the, probably the best way to think through it is that AI is several things. You know, of course we know that AI is this incredible technology that's going to transform every industry, you know, from, of course, the way we do software to, to healthcare and financial services to, you know, retail to, to, I guess every industry, transportation, manufacturing, and, and we're at the beginning of that. But maybe maybe another way to think about that is, is where do we need intelligence? Where do we need digital intelligence? And, and it's in every country is in every industry. And we know, we know because of that, we recognize that AI is also an infrastructure. It's a, it's a way of developing a technology, delivering a technology that requires factories and these factories produce tokens and they as I mentioned are important to every single industry in every single country. And so on that basis, we're really at the very beginning of it because the adoption of this technology is really kind of in it's early, early stages. Now we've reached an extraordinary milestone with AIS that are reasoning or thinking what people call inference time scaling. And of course it created a, a whole new, we've entered an era where where inference is going to be a significant part of the compute workload. But anyhow, you're, it's going to be a new infrastructure and we're building it out in the clouds. The United States is is really the the. The early starter and available in US clouds and this is our largest market, our largest installed base and we'll continue to see that happening. But beyond that, we're going to have to, we're going to see AI go into enterprise, which is on Prem because so much of the data still on Prem access control is really important. It's really hard to to move all of every company's data into the cloud. And so we're going to move AI into the enterprise. And you, you saw that we announced a couple of really exciting new products, our RTX Pro enterprise AI server that runs everything enterprise and AI, our, our DGX Spark and DGX station, which is designed for developers who want to work on Prem. And so enterprise AI is, is just taking off telcos today. A lot of the telco infrastructure will be in the future software defined and built on AI. And so 6G is going to be built on AI and that infrastructure needs to be built out. And they said it's very, very early stages. And then of course, every factory today that makes things will have an AI factory that sits with it. And the AI factory is going to be drive creating AI and and operating AI for the factory itself, but also to power the products and the things that are made by the factories. So it's very clear that every car company will have AI factories and very soon they'll be robotics companies, robot companies, and those companies will be also building AIS to drive the robots. And so we're at the beginning of all of this build out.
Sarah (Operator)
The next question comes from CJ News with Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is open.
Ben Reitzes (Analyst)
Yeah. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking the question. There have been many large GPU cluster investment announcements in the last month and you alluded to, you know, a few of them with Saudi Arabia, the UAE and then also, you know, we've heard from Oracle and XAI just to name a few. So like my question, are there other that have yet to be announced of of the same kind of scale and magnitude and and perhaps more importantly, how, how are these in orders impacting your lead times for Blackwell and your current visibility sitting here today, you know, almost halfway through 2025?
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
Well, we have more orders today than we did at the AT the last time I spoke about orders at GTC. However, we're also increasing our supply chain and building out our supply chain. They're doing a fantastic job. We're building it here on shore in our states, but we're going to keep our supply chain quite busy for several, many more years coming. And with respect to, with respect to further announcements, I'm going to be on the road next week through Europe. And it's, it's just about every country needs to build out AI infrastructure. And they're, they're umpteen AI factories being planned. I think, I think in the remarks, Colette mentioned there's some a 100 AI factories being built. There's a whole bunch that haven't been announced. And I think the important concept here and which makes it makes it, you know, easier to understand is that like, like other technologies that impact literally every single industry. Of course, electricity was 1 and it became infrastructure. Of course, the information infrastructure, which which we now know as the Internet effects every single industry, every country, every society. Intelligence is surely one of those things. I don't know any company, industry, country who, who thinks that intelligence is optional, it's essential infrastructure. And so we've now digitalized intelligence and, and so I, I think we're, we're clearly in the beginning of a, of the, the build out of this infrastructure. And every, every country will have it. I'm certain of that. Every industry will use it, that I'm certain of. And what's unique about this infrastructure is that it needs factories. You know, it's a little bit like like the like the energy infrastructure, electricity, it needs factories, we need factories to produce this intelligence and the intelligence is getting more sophisticated. We were talking about earlier that we had a huge breakthrough in the last couple of years with reasoning AI and and now they're agents that reason and they're super agents that use a whole bunch of tools. And then there's clusters of super agents where agents are working with agents solving problems. And so you could just imagine compared to one shot chat bots and the agents that are now using AIA bit built on these large language models, how much more compute intensive they, they really need to be in our. And so, so I, I think we're in the beginning of the build out and there's, there should be, there should be many, many more announcements in the future.
Sarah (Operator)
Your next question, excuse me. Your next question comes from Ben Rices with Melius. Your line is open.
Stacy Rasgon (Analyst)
Yeah, hi. Thanks for the question. I wanted to ask, you know, first to Colette, just a little clarification around the guidance and maybe putting it in a different way. You know, the 8 billion for age 20 just seems like, you know, it's roughly 3 billion more than most people thought with regard to what you'd be forgoing in the second quarter. So that would mean that, you know, with regard to your guidance, the rest of the business, you know, in order to hit 45 is, is doing 2 to 3 billion or so better. So you know, I was wondering if that math made sense to you. And and then you know, in terms of the guidance that would that would imply the non China business is doing, you know, a bit better than the street expected. So, you know, wondering, you know, what the primary driver was there in your view. And then this, this second part of my question, you know, Jensen, I know you guide 1/4 at a time, but with regard to the AI diffusion rule being lifted and this momentum was sovereign. You know, there's been times in your history where you've where you guys have said on calls like this where you know, you have more conviction and sequential growth throughout the year, etcetera. And given, given the unleashing of demand with AI diffusion being, you know, revoked and the supply chain increasing, you know, does it, does the environment give you more conviction and sequential growth as we go throughout the year? So first one for Colette and then next one for Jensen. Thanks so much.
Colette Kress (Executive Vice President and CFO)
Thanks, Ben for the question. When we look at our Q2 guidance and our commentary that we provided that had the export controls not occurred, we would have had orders of about 8 billion for age 20. That's correct. That was a possibility for what we would have had in our outlook for this quarter in Q2. So what we also have talked about here is the growth that we've seen in Blackwell, Blackwell across many of our customers as well as the growth that we continue to have in terms of supply that we need for our customers. So putting those together, that's where we came through with the guidance that we provided. I'm going to turn the rest over to Jensen to see how he.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
Wants to. Yeah, Thanks. Thanks Ben. I would say compared to the beginning of the year, compared to GTC time frame, there are 4 positive surprises. The first positive surprise is the step function demand increase of reasoning. AII think it is fairly clear now that AI is going through an exponential growth and reasoning AI really busted through concerns about about hallucination or its ability to to really solve problems. And I think I think a lot of people are are crossing that barrier and realizing how incredible incredibly effective agentic AI is and reasoning AI is. So number one is inference reasoning and the, the exponential growth there demand growth. The second one you mentioned AI diffusion. It, it's really terrific to see that the AI diffusion rule was rescinded. President Trump wants America to win and, and he also realizes that that we're not the only country in the race and he wants, he wants the United States to win and recognizes that we have to get the American stack out to the world and have the world built on top of American stacks instead of alternatives. And so AI diffusion happened. The the rescinding of it happened at almost precisely the time that that countries around the world are awakening the importance of AI as an infrastructure, not just as a technology of great curiosity and great importance, but infrastructure for their industries and start-ups in society. Just as they had to build out infrastructure for electricity and Internet, you got to build an infrastructure for AII think that that's an awakening and that creates a lot of opportunity. The third is enterprise AI. Agents work and agents are doing these agents are really quite successful, much more than generative AI. Agentic AI is game changing. You they you know, agents can understand ambiguous and rather rather implicit instructions and able to problem solve and use tools and have memory and and so on. And, and so I think this is a enterprise AI is ready, ready to take off and, and it's taken us a few years to build a computing system that that is able to integrate and run, run enterprise AI stacks, run enterprise IT stacks, but add AI to it. And this is the RTX Pro enterprise server that we announced at Computext just last week. And just about every major IT company has joined us and is super excited about that. And so computing is 1 stat, one part of it. But remember, enterprise IT is really 33 pillars. It's compute, storage and networking. And we've now put all three of them together for finally and we're going to market with that. And then lastly, industrial AI, remember one of the implications of, of the, the the world reordering, if you will, is is regions on shoring manufacturing and building plants everywhere. In addition to AI factories, of course, there are, there are new electronics manufacturing, chip manufacturing being built around the world. And all of these new plants in these new factories are creating exactly the right time when, when Omniverse and AI and all the work that we're doing it, we're doing with robotics is, is emerging. And so, so this, this fourth pillar is, is a, a quite important, every factory will have an AI factory associated with it. And, and in order to create these physical AI systems, you really have to train a, a, a vast amount of data. So, so back to more data, more training, more AIS to be created, more computers. And so these four, these four drivers are are really kicking into Turbocharge.
Sarah (Operator)
Your next question comes from Timothy Arcuri with UBS. Your line is open.
Atif Malik (Analyst)
Thanks a lot. Jensen, I wanted to ask about China. It sounds like the July guidance assumes there's no skew replacement for the age 20. But if the President wants the US to win, it seems like you're going to have to be allowed to ship something into China. So I guess I had two, you know, points on that. First of all, have you been approved to ship a new modified version into China and you're currently building it, but you just can't ship it in fiscal Q2 and then you were sort of run rating 7 to $8 billion a quarter into China. Can we get back to those sorts of quarterly run rates once you get something that you're, you know, allowed to ship back into China? I think we're all trying to figure out how much to head back to our models and when. So you know, whatever you can say there would be great. Thanks.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
The, the president has a plan, he has a vision and I trust him with respect to, with respect to our export controls. It's, it's a set of limits and the new set of limits pretty pretty much make it impossible for us to, to reduce Hopper any further, you know, for, for any productive use. And, and so the new limits, the new limits, you know, it's kind of the end of the road for Hopper. We have some, we have limited options and, and, and so we just the, the key is to, to understand the limits. The key is to understand the limits and see if we can come up with, with, with interesting products that could, that could continue to serve the Chinese market. We, we don't have anything at the moment. And, but we're, we're considering it, we're thinking about it. Obviously the limits are, are quite stringent at the moment and we, we have nothing to announce today. And, and when the time comes, you know, we'll, we'll, we'll engage the administration and discuss that.
Sarah (Operator)
Your final question comes from the line of Aaron Rakers with Wells Fargo. Your line is open.
Colette Kress (Executive Vice President and CFO)
Hi this is.
Ben Reitzes (Analyst)
Jake on for Aaron. Thanks for taking the question and Congrats on the great quarter. I was wondering if you could give some additional color around the strength you saw within the networking business, particularly around the adoption of your Ethernet solutions at CSPS as well as any change you're seeing in network attach rates?
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
Yeah. Thank you for that. We now have 3 networking platforms, maybe, maybe 4. The the first one, the first one is the scale up platform to turn a computer into a much larger computer. Scaling up is incredibly hard to do. Scaling out is easier to do, but scaling up is hard to do. And that platform is called NV Link and NV Link is, is comes with it chips and switches and you know, MV link spines and it's really complicated. But anyways, that's our new platform scale up platform. In addition to InfiniBand, we also have Spectrum X. We've been fairly, fairly consistent that Ethernet was designed for a lot of traffic that are independent. But in the case of AI, you have a lot of computers working together and the, the traffic of AI is insanely bursty. Latency matters a lot because the, the AI is thinking and it wants to get work done as quickly as possible. And you got a whole bunch of nodes working together. And so we enhanced a, we enhanced Ethernet added capabilities like extremely low latency, congestion control, adaptive routing, the type of technologies that were available only in InfiniBand to Ethernet. And as a result, we improved the utilization of Ethernet in these clusters. These clusters are gigantic from as low as 50% to as high as 85 percent, 90%. And, and so the difference is if you had a cluster that's $10 billion and you improved its effectiveness by 40%, that's worth $4 billion. It's incredible. And so Spectrum X has been really quite frankly a home run. And and this this last quarter as as we said in the in the prepared remarks, we added two very significant CSPS to the Spectrum X adoption. And and then the last one, the last one is Bluefield, which is our control plane. And so in those four those the control plane of the network which is used for storage, is used for security. And for many of these clusters that want to achieve isolation among its users, multi tenant clusters and and still be able to use and and have extremely high performance bare metal performance. Bluefield is ideal for that and is used in a lot of these, a lot of these cases. And so we have these 44 networking platforms, they're all growing and, and we're, we're, we're, we're doing really well. I'm very proud of the team.
Toshiya Hari (Vice President, Investor Relations)
Jenson over to.
Sarah (Operator)
You, that is all the time we have for questions. Jenson, I will turn the call back to you.
Jensen Huang (President and CEO)
Thank you. This is the start of a powerful new wave of of growth. Grace Blackwell is in full production. We're off to the races. We now have multiple significant growth engines inference once the lighter workload is surging with revenue generating AI services.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
AI is growing.
Jensen Huang (President and CEO)
Faster and will be larger than any platform shifts before, including the Internet, mobile and cloud. Blackwell is built to power the full AI life cycle, from training frontier models to running complex inference and reasoning agents at scale. Training demands continues to.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
Rise.
Jensen Huang (President and CEO)
With breakthroughs and post training and like reinforcement learning and synthetic data generation. But inference is exploding, reasoning AI agents require.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
Orders of magnitude more compute the foundations of our next growth platforms are in.
Jensen Huang (President and CEO)
Place and Ready to scale. Sovereign AI nations are investing in AI infrastructure like they once did for electricity and Internet. Enterprise AI. AI must be deployable on Prem and integrated with existing IT. Our RTX Pro, DGX Spark and DGX Station enterprise AI systems are ready to modernize the $500 billion IT infrastructure on Prem or in the cloud. Every major IT provider is partnering with US industrial AI from training to digital twin simulation to deployment. NVIDIA.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
Omniverse and Isaac Groot are powering next generation factories and humanoid robotic systems worldwide. The age of AI is here, from AI infrastructures, inference at scale, sovereign AI, enterprise AI, and industrial.
Jensen Huang (President and CEO)
AI NVIDIA is ready join us at GTC Paris I'll.
Vivek Arya (Analyst)
Keynote at Vivatech on June 11th talking about quantum GPU computing.
Jensen Huang (President and CEO)
Robotic factories and robots and celebrate our partnerships building AI factories across the region. The NVIDIA band will tour France, the UK, Germany and Belgium. Thank you for joining us at the earnings call today. See you in Paris.
Sarah (Operator)
This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
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